Miami Dolphins (-3) at -115 @ Buffalo Bills (+3) at -105
Get the latest NFL Free picks at Belmont Sportsbook. Today, we’re going to check out the early odds for the AFC East battle between the Dolphins and Bills.
Thanks to one key addition at WR, the Miami Dolphins now have a deep play threat on the outside in Brandon Marshall and he will enable the Dolphins to spread the field and take away some of the pressure defence’s bring on their ever-effective wildcat formation. The Dolphins will still be primarily a running team and I am sure that they have added a few more wrinkles into their wildcat formation, so don’t be surprised by anything you see from them this year with RB Ronnie Brown or Ricky Williams behind center.
Many NFL prognosticators are saying that if things can go right for Miami this year they will challenge the Patriots and Jets for the AFC East crown, but that discussion is for another day, as the old cliché goes, we’ve got to take it one week at a time and go from there.
In Week 1, the Dolphins head up to Buffalo to face a rebuilding Bills team that should struggle this year. However, the most significant point about this game in Buffalo is that it is in September and the Dolphins don’t have to go up there later in the year and play in the cold, snow, etc. Since 2006, Miami has had to go up to Buffalo every year during the final four weeks of the season and lost every single game SU and ATS except for the one in 2008. Why did they manage to win that game in 2008 you may ask? Well, that was because the Dolphins got the break of the century and got to play that game indoors in Toronto, rather than in the elements in Buffalo. Miami always has been a warm weather team, and getting to go to Buffalo in Week 1 is another great break given to the Dolphins by the schedule makers.
Combine the weather benefits with the fact that the improved Dolphins get to face a rebuilding Bills team who lost T.O as well this year and really don’t have a dynamic threat in the running or passing game. Buffalo’s QB’s are suspect and can throw numerous interceptions in a game, so the Dolphins should be well on their way to a 1-0 start.
I suggest playing on the Dolphins now because -3 is such a key number in football that it can often be the difference between a losing and winning season for bettors. Since so many NFL games come down to a FG difference, getting a -3 is such a crucial thing for one’s bankroll. Furthermore, depending on who you like in a game like this, I would always suggest buying .5 a point either way. So in this case, buy Miami to -2.5 @ -130 or so because that way if they do win by 3 points it is a winning bet rather than a push. On the flip side, if you like Buffalo, take them up to +3.5 and you would also win if it is a 3 point game. That is a general rule I like to use all season, but remember we must take it “one week at a time.”
The Dolphins should cruise through this game and win by at least two scores, but you never know what can happen in the NFL. One thing is for sure though; Miami has a very small chance of losing this game so they seem to be one of the best bets in Week 1.
Take Miami at -3 in Week 1.
Related posts:
